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NFL Betting Recap & Bad Beats (Week 5)


Games & Results

Thursday
Rams (-2.5) @ Seahawks (+2.5):
O/U: 54.5
Result: Rams -2.5, UNDER 53

Sunday
Falcons (-3.5) vs Jets (+3.5) (London)
O/U: 45
Result: Falcons -3.5, OVER 45

Eagles (+3.5) @ Panthers (-3.5)
O/U: 44.5
Result: Panthers +3.5, UNDER 44.5

Broncos (+2) @ Steelers (-2)
O/U: 40.5
Result: Steelers -2, OVER 40.5

Packers (-3) @ Bengals (+3)
O/U: 49.5
Result: PUSH, UNDER 49.5

Lions (+8) @ Vikings (-8)
O/U:
49
Result: Lions +8, UNDER 49

Dolphins (+11) @ Buccaneers (-11)
O/U: 49.5
Result: Buccaneers -11, OVER 49.5

Saints (-1.5) @ Washington (+1.5)
O/U: 44.5
Result: Saints -1.5, OVER 44.5

Titans (-4) @ Jaguars (+4)
O/U: 49.5
Result: Titans -4, OVER 49.5

Patriots (-9.5) @ Texans (+9.5)
O/U: 39.5
Result: Texans +9.5, OVER 39.5

Bears (+5.5) @ Raiders (-5.5)
O/U: 45.5
Result: Bears +5.5, UNDER 45.5

Browns (+1.5) @ Chargers (-1.5)
O/U: 48.5
Result: Chargers -1.5, OVER 48.5

Giants (+7.5) @ Cowboys (-7.5)
O/U: 49.5
Result: Cowboys -7.5, OVER 49.5

49ers (+5.5) @ Cardinals (-5.5)
O/U:
49.5
Result: Cardinals -5.5, UNDER 49.5

Bills (+2.5) @ Chiefs (-2.5)
O/U: 57
Result: Bills +3.5, OVER 57

Monday
Colts (+7) @ Ravens (-7)
O/U:
48
Result: Colts +7, OVER 48

Key Takeaways:

Week 5 O/U Record: Over: 10 – Under: 6
Week 5 ATS Records: Favorites: 9 – Underdogs: 7 – Push: 1

The favorites continue to dominate this season and the sportsbooks are paying for it. If you did moneyline parlays of the heavy favorites every week, you have made a lot of money!

This week was all about the overs. Even the Patriots went over the total for the first time in a while.

Are the Chiefs bad? I personally believe they are just getting unlucky. They will be fine as the season progresses, so they will be a team I am going to be high on while we get the discount on their odds.

Bad Beats:

The Jets kicked a field goal on third down with 17 seconds left in the game to push the points over the total. Rough for under bettors. It also destroyed any chance at them covering the +3.

Awful officiating ruined any chance of the Browns winning against the Chargers. A late Pass Interference call completely changed the result.

Kickers. Enough said.

My Personal Results:

Seahawks +3 (-120)❌
Lions +7.5 (-115)✅
Texans +9 (-115)✅
Buccaneers -10 (-110)✅
Chiefs -2.5 (-110)❌
Patriots vs Texans UNDER 39.5 (-110)❌
Titans vs Jaguars UNDER 48.5 (-105)❌

NFL Week 4 Record: 3-4
2021 NFL Record: 18-16-1
All Time Posted NFL Record: 155-117-7

About RM

I go by LayTheHouseRM on all social media platforms. I have been a live finalist for Fanduel at their world fantasy baseball championships in 2016. I am also an established free “capper” on Twitter. I provide a ton of free gambling and fantasy sports content over all platforms.

If you would like to connect with me, or just follow me for my picks, please click the link below:
https://linktr.ee/LayTheHouseRM

Thank You!

Featured Image: Mark Hardie, CC BY 2.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0, via Wikimedia Commons

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